Michigan Active Voters vs. Registered Voters

Here you can find an official report from the State of Michigan containing Ative vs. Inactive Voters. Interestingly, some of the Precincts have less that 80% actiive while others have more than 90% Active.

PDF:

BiennialPrecinct2016_531265_7 

EXCEL:

BiennialPrecinct2016_531265_7

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2017 Georgia Special Election CD06 Cumulative Votes Analysis

Here is my cumulative votes analysis of the Georgia Special Election on April 18 2017. As you can see, there is a very slight downward slope for Jon Ossoff’s cumulative votes percentage while there is a slight upward slope for those of Karen Handel, in the largest precincts of Fulton and DeKalb Counties. It is worth noting that the graph for Cobb County shows a slight downward slope for John Ossoff, starting in the smallest precincts and persisting until the very largest. while it shows an upward slope for Judson Hill. In all of the counties, the slopes of the other candidates appeared normally. In a cumulative votes analysis graph, the percentage (%) line of cumulative votes would level out after 30-50% of the votes are counted, due to the law of large numbers. However, as the viewer can see, that is not the case here. These graphs are not proof of causality, but could be taken into account with other factors surrounding the April 18 2017 special election in CD06 of Georgia.

2017 Special Election Georgia Cumulative Votes Analysis Counties

Prior to this special election, 4 electronic poll books were stolen from a precinct manager’s car in Cobb County, GA (Article Here). ¨The ExpressPoll voting machines are used by poll workers to check voters in and keep a list of who had already voted — but they are not used to cast actual ballots, officials said.¨

In addition, there was a rare memory card problem during the uploading of the votes (Press Release, Report 6th Congressional District GA Root Cause Analysis). Although this problem was corrected, It does reflect poorly on the GA CD6 Election process management and control. These two factors (stolen machines and memory card issues blocking recount) are enough to justify paper ballots for the runoff election in June 2017. Additionally, Kennesaw State University in Georgia is investigating a breach at its Center for Election Systems that may have compromised state voting records (Article Here). There were less that 2000 votes cast, per precinct, during the 18 April 2017 Special election. This is a very manageable number of paper ballots to recount manually.

For more information on signing the petition to demand paper ballots in GA06, please click HERE.

 

Ballot-Hunter

We analyze votes and voter registration data on state, county and precinct levels. We seek to explain anomalies in the voting results and hunt down ballots that should be counted. We have built a database of ballots cast/ballots counted, voter registrations and voting machines used, all on a county, ward and precinct level. We can detect any number of statistical irregularities from an election. We leave no stone unturned in our search.

Researching Empty Ballots (Undervotes) in the 2016 Presidential Election

We started out concerned about strong shifts in the final results of the 2016 General Election, especially in the Swing States, with many flipping from Blue to Red during the final hour. Initial Exit Polls, conducted by Edison, showed Hillary Clinton in the lead in the important Swing States, like Pennsylvania and Florida. We watched in shock as Pennsylvania shifted from 4.40% in favor of Hillary Clinton in the Initial Exit Polls to 1.1% in favor of Donald Trump. This huge shift of 5.6% in the results alarmed us. Additionally, Florida shifted from 1.40% in favor of Hillary Clinton to 1.3% in favor of Donald Trump, representing a 2.60% shift. These were not the most dramatic shifts, but were the two states that ended up giving victory to Donald Trump in Electoral College Delegates.

Since then we have searched, even hunted, for an explanation to the phenomenon. We are seeking the reasons why there are 1.68% Empty Ballots (undervotes) for President from the 2016 General Election.